dreamer_easy: (Default)
I've found some new statistics on false allegations of rape which I'll post here, continuing a series of past postings. Briefly, there is still no evidence that women frequently make false rape reports; there is some evidence that they do not.

Before I get onto the figures, though, I wanted to quote a little of this commentary from researcher David Lisak, published last year.

"When a room full of people feels the urgent need to shun and discard a rape victim, nothing makes it easier than adopting the belief that she made the whole thing up. The terrifying vulnerability that she represents is immediately dissolved because it never happened. And the victim can righteously be discarded because she is a liar.

Ironically, the failure to empathize with the rape victim, and the impulse to shun her, only make us all more vulnerable [because] the vast majority of rapes are perpetrated by serial offenders. Thus, when the participants in the criminal justice system collaborate in discarding a rape victim, they simultaneously increase the odds of future rapes."
dreamer_easy: (Default)
A couple more statistics:
  • In the Australian state of Victoria, from 2000-2003, police classified only 2.1% of reported rapes as false reports. (Statewide Steering Committee to Reduce Sexual Assault. Study of reported rapes in Victoria. Office of Women's Policy, Department for Victorian Communities, Melbourne, July 2006.)

  • In 1991, the San Francisco Examiner reported that "in San Francisco, Berkeley, and Richmond last year, the unfounding rate on sexual assault cases was less than 1%". Actual false reports would have only been part of that figure. (Quoted in Benedict, Helen. Virgin or Vamp: How the Press Covers Sex Crimes. Oxford University Press, New York, 1992.)
Many published statistics on the frequency of false rape reports are not the result of systematic studies, which is one reason why the figures vary so widely. For example, researchers may just rely on their own opinions, or on the opinions of police, whether or not the report was actually investigated. These opinions are often based on assumptions about how a genuine rape victim would appear and behave - assumptions which are not supported by the evidence.

These opinions can become a self-fulfilling prophecy. Faced with suspicion and disbelief from police, genuine rape victims may withdraw their complaints in despair or fear, and police may then record those withdrawn complaints as false reports - "proving" they were right to doubt the victim. "Surveys of US rape crisis centers revealed 17 states where adult rape complainants, unlike adult victims of other crimes, are required to take a polygraph exam before their charges are accepted. Many survivors faced with these unsupportive early warning signs withdrew their charges, and police listed their cases as false rape allegations or 'recantations'." (Rozee and Ross, 2001).

Despite the lack of evidence to support it, the belief that false reports are a significant percentage of rape reports is held by police, lawyers, judges, jurors, the media, and members of the public. It's all over the net. The baseless belief that women often falsely report rape is "one of the most important barriers to successfully investigating and prosecuting sexual assault" (Lonsway et al 2009). Countless genuine victims have been turned away by police because of the myth; countless rapists have escaped punishment because of it. There is no other crime in which victims are subject to this baseless scepticism.

__
Rozee, Patricia and Mark P. Koss. Rape: a Century of Resistance. Psychology of Women Quarterly 25 2001 pp 295-311. (Citing Sloan, L.M. (1995) Revictimization by polygraph: The practice of polygraphing survivors of sexual assault. Journal of Medicine and Law 14 pp 255-276.)

Lonsway et al. False Reports: Moving Beyond the Issue to Successfully Investigate and Prosecute Non-Stranger Sexual Assault. The Voice 3(1) 2009. (Newsletter from the American Prosecutors Research Institute.)
dreamer_easy: (HOLD ON)
Although it's a common belief that women frequently falsely report rape, there is no evidence that this is the case, and some evidence that women do not often make false reports. In 2007 I made a series of postings in which I outlined some of the research. I'd like to follow those up now with some more facts and figures specifically about false reports. To begin with:

  • "The San Diego Police Department Sex Crimes Division routinely evaluated the rate of false reports over several years and found them to be around 4%. In a recent study of 2,643 sexual assault cases reported to British police, 8% were classified as false allegations. Yet when researchers applied the actual criteria for a false report, as opposed to an unsubstantiated or unfounded report, the figure dropped to 2%." (Raphael, J. The Duke Lacrosse Case: Exploiting the Issue of False Rape Accusations. Violence Against Women 14(3), March 2008. I'd like to track down the original sources of these figures.)

  • Raphael also remarks: "Professor Lisak reminds us that not a single 'benchmark' study on false rape claims can be found in the social science literature". (Citing Lisak, D. (2007). False allegations of rape: A critique of Kanin. Sexual Assault Report 11, no. 1, 1-2, 6, and 9.) This is why I say there is "some" evidence that women don't often falsely report rape: no-one has ever specifically researched the prevalence of false reports.

  • ETA: "False allegations are widely believed to be a common occurence in cases of sexual assault. However, to date, there is no evidence to support this view. I would therefore counsel caution when statements are made about behaviour, which might be prefaced 'everyone knows'. In such circumstances, it is more likely that nobody knows."
    Adshead, Gwen. Psychological trauma and its influence on genuine and false complaints of sexual assault. Medicine, Science, and the Law 36(2) 1996 pp 95-99.

  • "To the best of the authors' knowledge, there are no statistics maintained on false allegations."
    Hazelwood, Robert R. and Ann Wolbert Burgess. "False allegations of rape". in Hazelwood, Robert R. and Ann Wolbert Burgess (eds). Practical Aspects of Rape Investigation: A Multidisciplinary Approach (4th ed). CRC Press (Taylor and Francis Group), Boca Raton FL, 2008.

dreamer_easy: (HOLD ON)
  • "The Portland Oregon police reported in 1990 that of the 431 rape and attempted rape complaints received, 1.6% were determined to be false compared with 2.6% of stolen vehicle reports that were false. A 1989 comparative analysis of data on false rape allegations reported a rate of 2%." (Schafran, Lynn Hecht. Writing and Reading About Rape: A Primer. St. John's Law Review 66 1993 pp 979-1045. )

  • Very often cited is Eugene J. Kanin's study of "a small metropolitan community" (population 70,000) over the nine years 1978-1987, in which a whopping 41% of rape reports were recanted. That figure is so huge compared to the other studies I've found that I don't think differences in definitions can account for it. Instead, I think the community had either an exceptionally low rape rate, or - more likely - an exceptionally low *reporting* rate. In 9 years only 105 reports were made in total - of which 45 were the false ones, leaving 64. By Bureau of Justice Statistics figures for 2005, it would have been more like 230. Obviously I can't apply 2005 figures to 1978-87, so I'll need to dig up contemporary statistics on the reporting rate; but I think Kanin's community is the odd one out. (Kanin, Eugene J. False Rape Allegations. Archives of Sexual Behavior 23(1) 1994, pp 81-92.)
That's everything I've rescued from the water-damaged folder. The next step is for me to look online and in the databases at uni.
dreamer_easy: (HOLD ON)
  • UK figures from a 2005 Home Office Research Study, A gap or a chasm? Attrition in reported rape cases: "Nine per cent of reported cases were designated false... However, closer analysis of this category applying Home Office counting rules reduces this to three per cent. Even the higher figure is considerably lower than the extent of false reporting estimated by police officers interviewed in this study." [My emphasis] ETA: "... the Home Office guidance on 'no criming' and false complaints in particular was not always followed with cases having neither an admission by the complainant nor strong evidentiary grounds." (Kelly 2010)

  • A second paper I found, a report from the Villanova University School of Law, discusses the results of the belief that false reports are common, in the law and in police procedure, but points out: "In fact, there is no good empirical data on false rape complaints either historically or currently... As a scientific matter, the frequency of false rape complaints to police or other legal authorities remains unknown." [My emphasis] (Anderson, Michelle J. The Legacy of the Prompt Complaint Requirement, Corroboration Requirement, and Cautionary Instructions on Campus Sexual Assault. Villanova University School of Law, Public Law and Legal Theory Working Paper No. 2004-10, June 2004.)

  • A Canadian figure: in a study of rape reports to the Winnebago PD in 1976 and 1977, 27.3% of the cases were labelled "unfounded", but only 5.2% were false reports. (Johnson, Stuart, Rick Linden, and Candice Minch. Attrition in the Processing of Rape Cases. Canadian Journal of Criminology 29 1987.)
dreamer_easy: (Default)
Good grief. I tried a simple Google search for any information on the rate of false reports of rape, but any reliable information was utterly swamped by bullshit. What I want is research, not factoids, whining from convicted rapists, conspiracy theories, and - I'm trying to think of a polite way to describe the pandering to men by faux "feminists". *ahem* I think I'll stick to the literature.

I feel dirty.

I think I can already draw some basic conclusions from the research I've got.

1. There is no clear evidence that women frequently make false rape reports. There is some evidence that they do not. But there is no way to say for sure; more research is needed.

2. With no clear evidence that women frequently make false reports, there is no reason to assume that a woman reporting rape is lying. Instead, her claim should be assessed on the basis of the evidence, like any crime report.

3. Statistics on rape reports are frequently distorted to exaggerate the rate of false reports. IMHO, this distortion serves two purposes: to discredit feminism, and to protect rapists.
dreamer_easy: (feminist)
  • "Some women do lie, of course, but the number of women who make false reports is negligible in comparison with the number of valid complainants. In a six-month period in New York City there were around 2000 reported rapes, of which about 250 were unfounded reports. But 'unfounded' does not mean lying... After analysing all the 'unfounded' reports, we found that there were actually only five cases of women maliciously telling lies and deliberately falsely accusing men of rapes that had never been committed. In these cases the women are arrested for making false accusations..." [Bolding mine, but emphasis his!] (O'Reilly, Harry J. "Crisis Intervention with Victims of Forcible Rape: A Police Perspective". In Hopkins, June (ed). Perspectives on Rape and Sexual Assault. Harper and Row, London, 1984.)

  • One of the worst articles I found on the subject was a 1971 piece in Medical Aspects of Human Sexuality, which was a long collection of anecdotes, accompanied by an erotic Rodin drawing and a cartoon making fun of women's lib. Sources were given for almost none of the stories - in fact, we're given no idea of where they came from. Possibly the author, John MacDonald, included the sources in his book Rape: Offenders and Their Victims, published the same year.

    In the article and the book, MacDonald stated that 25% of reported rapes in Denver during one year were unfounded - some for reasons as trivial as having occurred outside the Denver jurisdiction. When another researcher (Hursch, Carolyn J. The Trouble With Rape. Nelson-Hall, Chicago, 1977) looked at the Denver data, she found that only 9% of the reports were unfounded by police, and that only 3% were false reports.
dreamer_easy: (HOLD ON)
  • There's often confusion between reports which were recanted, and reports which did not lead to prosecution for one of many reasons. "This is one way in which rates of false allegation have been inflated and misrepresented. It may be reported that false allegations of rape occur at the rate of 30%, for example, when what is really meant is that 30% of cases are 'unfounded'." (Aiken, Margaret M, Ann Wolbert Burgess, and Robert R. Hazelwood. "False Rape Allegations". In Hazelwood, Robert R. and An Wolbert Burgess (eds), Practical Aspects of Rape Investigation. Boca Raton, CRR Press, 1995.)

  • "In fact, there is no empirical data to prove that there are more false charges of rape than any other violent crime." [Emphasis mine] (Torrey, Morrison. When Will We Be Believed? Rape Myths and the Idea of a Fair Trial in Rape Prosecutions U.C. Davis Law Review 24 1991, pp 1013-1027.

    (Torrey cites a 1979 US Department of Justice report, Forcible Rape: A Manual for Filing and Trial Prosecutors. Prosecutors' Volume II. I wonder if I can find it? ETA: I found a partly illegible scan of the manual - which in turn cites: Curtis, L.A. Victim precipitation and violent crime. Social Problems 21, 1974, pp 594-605.)

  • Torrey also points to the confusion between "unfounded" reports and false reports. "Sometimes the pressures to close a case cause police to categorize rape complaints as 'unfounded' without appropriate investigation. For instance, after a media story the police department in Oakland, California, was forced to reopen 203 rape complaints that had been listed as 'unfounded' even though no investigation had occurred." (The Oakland mess is also referred to in Schafran, Lynn Hecht. Writing and Reading About Rape: A Primer. St. John's Law Review 66 1993 pp 979-1045.)

  • The same thing happened in Philadelphia in the 1990s. A 1999 investigation discovered that a third of the SVU's cases - hundreds of rapes and sexual assaults - had been coded "investigation of person" and dropped from investigation. (Prior to this, the SVU had labelled an unusually large number of complaints "unfounded" - blaming false rape reports. They switched to the "investigation of person" label after the FBI expressed concern.)

  • One problem for me is the widespread claim that only 2% of all rape reports are false. I haven't been able to find an original source for this figure, which I think may be a misinterpretation of a single study mentioned in Susan Brownmiller's Against Our Will: Men, Women, and Rape.
dreamer_easy: (feminist)
There's a widespread belief that women often make false reports of rape, posing a serious risk to innocent men. For a long time now, I've been meaning to write an essay challenging this view. To the best of my knowledge, there is no real evidence that women often make false rape reports. The incorrect belief that they do has had serious consequences.

I've just discovered that the folder I've been keeping my research in has been damaged by water, so I'm going to assemble the evidence I have here, in a series of postings. Your comments and feedback are very much invited, whatever your views.

The first thing I want to do is go over some of the issues, "out loud".

Read more... )
dreamer_easy: (Default)
U-Turn on Memory Lane

As a younger woman I was a big fan of myth-busters like James Randi, and joined the Australian Skeptics. After a blazing row (IRL!) with a Skeptic who argued that rape was a largely harmless crime, I quit them. More recently, I discovered the close connection between CSICOP and the FMSF. Talk about feet of clay. :-(

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